Here is our first update to the endorsements made by major organizations in MoCo’s council and state legislative races.
Endorsements are only one part of a political campaign, and they are probably not the most important part. Incumbents are expected to get them. Members or staffers of these organizations who are running for office are also expected to get their support. But endorsements can be important for challengers, especially those running one-on-one against incumbents or those running in crowded fields. They can be very much helped by institutional credibility in seeking to break through.
Here are the open-seat candidates and challengers who are really standing out right now. Most of them are going to win.
Hans Riemer, County Council At-Large
Trails only Marc Elrich in major endorsements.
Karen Montgomery, District 14 Senate
Leads Rona Kramer on our list 7-3.
Craig Zucker and Eric Luedtke, District 14 House
Mopping up against limited opposition.
Aruna Miller, District 15 House
Hand-picked by the incumbent slate. Lots of people are climbing on her wagon.
Ariana Kelly, District 16 House
Has six major institutional endorsements. Scott Goldberg has one. Kyle Lierman has none.
Cheryl Kagan, District 17 Senate
Leads Jennie Forehand 5-3 on our list. It will be interesting to see what the Post does.
Bonnie Cullison and Jay Hutchins, District 19 House
Both are supplementing their expected labor backing with support from other groups. In most cycles, they would win, but Sam Arora cannot be counted out. The decision by the Fire Fighters and Police to not endorse Cullison, a former union leader, is interesting to say the least.
Shane Robinson, District 39 House
Total unknown is still preferred by most groups to Bob Hydorn and Tony Puca.
We’ll have another update soon!
Monday, August 16, 2010
Endorsements 2010 – First Update
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
1:00 PM
Labels: Adam Pagnucco, Council At-Large, District 14, District 15, District 16, District 17, District 19, District 39
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1 comments:
Adam,
I am a bit late to the party here. But where is the love for Progressive Neighbors?
You have covered their debate with the Council At Large race. But somehow you don't feel the need to include them in your list of endorsements.
They did not endorse all of the candidates I support but as a person who claims to be BOTH a union activist and civic activist you are giving the short end of the stick to the civics. Progressive Neighbors are a politically active segment of people out of the civic movement.
If we allow only the unions, MSM, and CoC to "qualify" as meaningful groups you are doing a disservice to the civic portion of your background.
I know you have discounted groups where "three or four people endorse their friends" but Progressive Neighbors has a very detailed approval process.
Look here:
http://www.progressiveneighborsmd.org/PN_MembershipProcess.pdf
Thanks.
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