Monday, July 06, 2009

Why CCT Supporters Should Give BRT a Chance

Some backers of the Corridor Cities Transitway (CCT) may be disappointed by a recommendation from the Planning Department staff that the project be constructed as bus-rapid transit (BRT). But CCT supporters should give BRT a chance for one simple reason: it may be the only way to make the project competitive for federal funding.

In order to be built, the CCT must qualify for funding from the Federal Transit Administration (FTA), which shares the cost of transit projects with applicant states. FTA gives proposed transit projects overall ratings of high, medium-high, medium, medium-low and low, with only projects receiving a medium or better rating considered for funding. The overall rating is the average of two sub-ratings: project justification and financial commitment, with each being ranked using the above five scores. Project justification is in turn an average of five component ratings on mobility improvements, environmental benefits, operating efficiencies, cost effectiveness and land use. If a project scores low on any of these categories, it must make it up with higher scores in one or more of the others. Any project with an overall score of medium-low or low will not be financed.


FTA makes the ultimate decision on each of the above ratings. But one of these ratings is already known for the CCT as well as the Purple Line and Baltimore’s Red Line: cost effectiveness. FTA defines cost effectiveness this way:

In its evaluation of the cost effectiveness of a proposed project, FTA considers the incremental cost per hour of transportation system user benefits in the forecast year. Transportation system user benefits reflect the improvements in regional mobility - as measured by the weighted in- and out-of-vehicle changes in travel-time to users of the regional transit system – caused by the implementation of the proposed New Starts project. The cost effectiveness measure is calculated by (a) estimating the incremental “base-year” annualized capital and operating costs of the project (over a lower cost “baseline” of transit service), and then (b) dividing these costs by the projected user benefits. The result of this calculation is a measure of project cost per hour of projected user (i.e. travel-time) benefits expected to be achieved if the project is added to the regional transit system. Proposed projects with a lower cost per hour of projected travel-time benefits are evaluated as more cost effective than those with a higher cost per hour of projected travel-time benefits.
Here is how different levels of cost effectiveness are associated with ratings:


The goal of any transit project should be to have a cost per hour of user benefit of $23.99 or lower, with the lower the better. Projects with higher costs per hour must get rankings of medium-high or high in one or more of the other categories to have a shot at an overall medium ranking, without which federal money will not be available.

The CCT will be competing with the Purple Line and Baltimore’s Red Line for funding. Few people believe that FTA will fund more than one of these projects at the same time. Few believe that Maryland can afford to pay its share of the cost for more than one of these projects at a time. (Some believe the state may not be able to afford any of them!) Each of these projects has several options for construction. Some options use BRT while others use rail. Some options use more tunneling than others. Some have different alignments than the others. But every option has a cost effectiveness estimate. Here’s how all of these options compare for the CCT, Purple Line and Red Line.


The only option to receive a medium-high cost effectiveness rating is surface BRT on the Purple Line using the Capital Crescent Trail. No one is particularly enthusiastic about that proposal. Of the eight medium cost effectiveness ratings, two are for BRT on the Purple Line, two are for rail on the Purple Line, one is for dedicated surface BRT on the Red Line, one is for dedicated surface rail on the Red Line and two are for BRT on the CCT. The two rail options for the CCT, as well as all the tunnel options for the Red Line, fall into the “low cost effectiveness” rating because they cost more than $30 per hour of user benefit. The Purple Line’s rail options generally do better than rail options for the other two projects because 1. population density on its route is greater than on the CCT, and 2. the cost of tunneling through Downtown Baltimore is very expensive. If the state chooses rail for the CCT or tunneling for the Red Line, those projects must be rated medium-high or high in one or more of the other categories to have a chance at federal funding.

Cost effectiveness is not everything. But it’s worth remembering that FTA initially rejected Virginia’s Dulles Metrorail extension in part because its cost effectiveness exceeded $31 per hour of user benefit - a low rating that is comparable to the cost of the CCT rail options. So if CCT supporters really want to see their project get built, BRT will give them their best chance of success.

4 comments:

skd said...

BRT is the best solution for the CCT. With a dedicated route - this will be transit in an expedited manner. There should also be some limited stop more express options at rush hours. With the circuitous route being considered in an attempt to please everyone and inclusion of proposed, not yet created developments, the promise of speedy transit diminishes.
Others are using the full CCT as an option only when it is paired with a 14 lane ( 4 HOV toll lanes on the borders) expansion of portions of 270 with widening in varied fashions all the way to Route 15 in Frederick. If there is little money for the Three projects already planned - where are we to get the money for this enormous expansion?
At the recent hearings in Gaithersburg - residents spoke of the personal costs to communities if the expansion were to occur. Additional environmental and historical damages are also projected. It is time for the community to wake up - under the guise of the CCT (said to reduce 60% of the current 270 traffic once built) you may find a 14 lane highway that we do not need. Does this ring a bell for any of the ICC opponents?

Robin Ficker Broker Robin Realty said...

I-270 should be widened to Frederick. Anybody who has ever witnessed or taken part in rush hour knows that. And Metro should be extended to Germantown so that people can kiss and ride--that is, let somebody off at the Germantown Metro without leaving I-270. Every Metro line has its greatest ridership from the end of the line.

Why is it that those who don't want bus transit for the Purple line want it for the upper county?

Adam Pagnucco said...

Let's be honest here. Regardless of what should happen, the state and the feds will decide whether the CCT is built with rail or BRT and, in fact, whether it is built at all.

skd said...

I agree with Robin - amazing!! - 270 should be widened up to Frederick. I do not agree that the current road should be widened quite so much, nor should it have toll lanes. However I also agree with Cary that development should be allied with necessary infrastructure - therefore staged in as the road and transit increase. Haven't we been proposing this for several years?