Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Council District 4 Special Election -- Mid Day Report

Above: Wayne Goldstein for Steve Kanstoroom outside of Kennedy HS.

Dear Readers, Adam Pagnucco and I are out for our respective candidates (he is for Navarro and I am for Praisner). I am writing from just outside of Shriver ES in Wheaton (13-36). If there are typos in this report it is because the laptop I am on does not have an anti-glare and it is too sunny outside.

We here are MPW are going to try and give you updates of the special election in District 4, not to be confused with the special election Congressional District 4 that will select the temporary replacement for Al Wynn. We will cover that later.

Anyway the total number of Democratic voters at 10:00 AM, which is the first time all 46 precincts will post how many people have voted, is 992. I don't have the Republican numbers.
The next report will be out at 3:00 PM and it will take awhile for the figures to come in.

But the 10:00 AM is number is extremely low. If the total number of voters is around 60,000 then you are looking at turnout that will not cross 10% for the Dems and probably is closer to 7%. (Most voters will come out after work.) But this race could be won with 2,500 voters.

A low turnout favors Don (Adam and I both agree on that point.) But any group that is able to motivate its base and get them to the polls will win. So expect the Navarro camp to get the teachers (MCEA) and support staff (SEIU) to man the phones and the polls as soon as the schools close.

Here are the Leisure World precinct numbers for 10:00 AM.
The Leisure World I (13-54) had 128 Dems and 30 GOPers.
Leisure World II (13-69) had 65 Dems and 23 GOPers.

Thanks to Mike Benefiel, campaign manager for Pat Ryan, for those numbers.

All of the candidates have been to Leisure World. Sid Kramer, the former County Executive, is also out at Leisure World for Nancy Navarro.

At my precinct, 13-36 (Shriver ES), which is one of the most heavily Hispanic preincts in the county. The turnout at 10:00 AM was 11 Dems and 10 GOPers. This is a strong Dem preinct so having more Republicans than Democrats is amazing. It is 65 total voters (regardless of party) at 2:35PM.


Above: Ana Maria Delgado for Nancy Navarro and Delegate Al Carr, neutral, outside of Wheaton HS (13-28).

Update:

Most of the stories you get now are more the personal rather than hard news. Here's one that I think is telling. A friend of mine, Genie Moreno, voted at Good Hope Rec Center (5-1) at 7:05 AM this morning and the chief election judge clapped and cheered because she was the first voter.