The candidates who lost the Council District 2 primary to Craig Rice should be encouraged by the district's history: more than one loser has returned to win. Here is one of them: Ben Kramer, son of former County Executive Sid Kramer. Ben Kramer was the Democratic Party nominee against District 2 GOP incumbent Nancy Dacek in 1994 and lost. But he is now headed back to Annapolis for a second term as a District 19 Delegate. Here is a very youthful looking Ben Kramer in a 1994 campaign ad. Persistence can pay, folks!
Friday, October 15, 2010
Ben Kramer for Council District 2, 1994
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
2:00 PM
Labels: Ben Kramer, Council District 2, History
MoCo Primary 2010: Council 2 Precinct Results
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
7:00 AM
Labels: Council District 2, Craig Rice, MoCo Primary Results 2010, Royce Hanson, Sharon Dooley
Friday, September 24, 2010
MPW Reader Poll: Can Robin Ficker Beat Craig Rice?
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
12:00 PM
Labels: Council District 2, Craig Rice, polls, Robin Ficker
Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Craig Rice: Thank You, but Beware of Ficker
Council District 2 Democratic primary winner Craig Rice has sent a thank you message to his supporters that pays respect to his Democratic opponents. But Rice also has a warning: don't get complacent because Robin Ficker is his general election opponent. Following is Rice's email.
Thank you for your support!
Dear Friends, Family and Neighbors,
First, let me say thank you. It is because of the support of you and my fantastic campaign team that exactly one week ago at this time, we received the final election numbers confirming I had prevailed in my election. I would also like to thank Sharon Dooley, Royce Hanson, Charles Kirchman and Eddie Kuhlman for taking part in seeking the Democratic nomination. It is a tremendous sacrifice to run for office and they should be applauded for their quest and running spirited campaigns. And special thanks go out to Eddie Kuhlman, who has offered his support to ensure a victory in the general election.
But our work is not over. I face a formidable opponent whom we all know or have heard of...Robin Ficker. I am sure he will try everything from distorting the truth, to rumor and conjecture, to defeat me. I will need your help to ensure, now that I am the Democratic nominee, we prevail in November.
You can help right away by contributing to the campaign. Any amount will help to get our message out early and often. Please log onto my website www.craigrice.org and click on the donate page.
In addition, I would love to have you walk with me as I continue to crisscross District 2, continuing to talk to voters and identify ways that the council can make Montgomery County the best place to live and work. If you would be able to volunteer for door knocking or phone banking, please contact Sharon St. Pierre at Stpierre619@verizon.net or 240-938-1309.
Also, please let me know if you would like a "Craig Rice for County Council" yard sign. We will deliver it right to your door. Just let us know you'd like one at my website: www.craigrice.org.
Again, I can't thank you enough for your support, your vote and your prayers. And please don't forget I will need you again in the general election in November. I hope to see you on the campaign trail.
Warm regards,
Craig
By authority of Citizens for Craig Rice, Vivian Rice, Treasurer
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
11:00 AM
Labels: Council District 2, Craig Rice, Robin Ficker
Monday, September 13, 2010
Craig Rice: Royce Hanson's Getting Desperate
Council District 2 candidate Craig Rice sent out the following email about rival Royce Hanson yesterday.
Royce Hanson's getting desperate...
Dear Friends,
There are only 2 days until the primary election and one of my opponents is getting desperate. He's sent out 3 mailers trying to frame me as "mortgaging my campaign to special interests" while touting the majority of his contributions come from individuals.
The "special interests" he's referring to are groups like our hard-working firefighters and police, teachers, bus drivers and cafeteria workers who each have contributed to my campaign. In fact, he sought all of their endorsements and if he had been endorsed by them, they would have contributed to his campaign instead.
So is this sour grapes, or is Royce so principled that he wouldn't take money from these so-called "special interests?"
Well, in a taped interview with the League of Women Voters, that question was asked. And Royce Hanson said "I'm happy to receive contributions from anybody who wants to contribute to my campaign. I take the same position that Abraham Lincoln did. I'll walk with the devil if he's going in my direction."
See the video for yourself here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rxmBXTtFmLI
Why is it ok for Royce to take money from anyone (including the devil), but not me? Sounds like old-school politics are afoot.
It appears Royce Hanson will just about say anything and mislead you to get into office. Do you want someone like Royce that will mislead you or someone like me who is endorsed by the hard-working men and women of this County, someone that will answer to YOU?
Vote Craig Rice for County Council, District 2 on Tuesday, September 14th and tell Royce Hanson he can't trick you into voting for him.
By authority: Citizens for Craig Rice, Vivian Rice, Treasurer
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
1:00 PM
Labels: Council District 2, Craig Rice, Negative Campaigning, Royce Hanson
Saturday, September 11, 2010
Sharon Dooley's Second Mailer
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
5:00 PM
Labels: Council District 2, Sharon Dooley
Thursday, September 09, 2010
Campaign Finance Reports, Pre-Primary 2
On September 3, all campaign finance reports for the period of 8/10 through 8/29 were due. These are the last reports available before the primary. Here’s a quick roundup by race.
County Council
In District 1, challenger Ilaya Hopkins was not that badly outclassed by incumbent Roger Berliner. Hopkins had $79,986 in receipts for the year, while Berliner had a combined $135,553 in starting cash balance and new receipts. But Berliner’s combination of incumbent status, name recognition and endorsements along with his financial advantage will prove to be too much for Hopkins. In District 2, Craig Rice has big edges in every finance metric against Royce Hanson and destitute Sharon Dooley. The Teachers are also going to work hard on his behalf.
In the at-large race, the incumbents and challengers Becky Wagner and Hans Riemer all have enough money for at least four county-wide mailers to regular primary voters each. Elrich may just be able to do three, while Floreen may be able to do five or even six. Alternatively, the candidates could do more targeted mailers going to selected groups of voters. As of this writing, the decisions have been made and every campaign is merely executing.
Our sources are puzzled by Duchy Trachtenberg’s spending decisions. We’ll have more on that tomorrow.
District 14
We have always assumed that Senator Rona Kramer would draw on her family’s fortune to overwhelm challenger Karen Montgomery in a tidal wave of mail. So far, that has not happened. Kramer has not loaned her campaign any money after giving herself $105,000 in her first run back in 2002. As a result, Montgomery has outraised and outspent Kramer and had a larger cash balance on 8/29. Montgomery is getting serious help from liberal groups who have told us that they have knocked on 5,300 doors and made 7,500 phone calls on her behalf. Kramer is now hitting Montgomery hard with negative mail, but is it too late?
In the Delegate race, Anne Kaiser and Craig Zucker look solid and Eric Luedtke appears to have done enough to win the third seat. The other candidates got in late and have not done enough to compete.
District 15
Senator Rob Garagiola has no primary opponent and is moving his money to other parts of the state. Delegates Brian Feldman and Kathleen Dumais will be reelected and will likely take teammate Aruna Miller with them.
District 16
Senator Brian Frosh has no primary opponent and will crush any Republican challenger. Delegate Bill Frick has good financing, Delegate Susan Lee has great financing and both have every endorsement that counts. Kyle Lierman and Ariana Kelly are in a real dogfight for the third seat, with Lierman raising more non-self financed money than any other Delegate candidate in the county and Kelly tossing herself $75,000. This race may come down to how active MCEA is in poll coverage for Kelly, since they have priorities in other parts of the county.
District 17
Senator Jennie Forehand and challenger Cheryl Kagan both have enough money to run good races. Their contest will be decided on other factors. The Delegates have no Democratic challengers.
District 18
Challenger Michael Griffiths has not been able to mount a credible race against Senator Rich Madaleno despite having the same campaign manager as Delegate challenger Dana Beyer. The main thing going for the two serious House challengers is the gigantic amount of self-funding they have each poured into the race. Beyer has put in $75,000, about the same amount as she spent last time, and newcomer Vanessa Atterbeary has put in $107,250. Atterbeary is the leading self-funder of any House candidate in MoCo in this cycle. Her money comes from her father, who employs her at his company. (Disclosure: The author is the Treasurer of the District 18 Democratic Team.)
District 19
Senator Mike Lenett loaned himself $200,000 at the start of the year and looks as if he will spend every penny. By any measure, he is running one of the biggest and most aggressive campaigns of any kind in the county. Challenger Roger Manno cannot outspend Lenett, but he is known in his district and has enough resources to compete. House candidate Sam Arora is a fundraising machine, putting in $45,000 of his own money and raising $84,628 more. His operation is on a different level than the other contenders and he looks like a winner. Incumbent Delegate Ben Kramer is the second-biggest self-funder in MoCo over the last decade (behind only Lenett). He has put in $40,000 of his own money so far and should be reelected. Bonnie Cullison has less money than Jay Hutchins, but she has the Post’s endorsement(!) and her union, MCEA, will move heaven and earth to get her elected. Hoan Dang has a lot of money and is showing some presence on the ground. Our sources do not expect him to win, but he might have a shot at fourth.
District 20
All the incumbents will be reelected. Period.
District 39
Senator Nancy King and challenger Saqib Ali are together drowning the district in negative and contrast mail. Their race is going to be remembered up there, and among MoCo political junkies, for a long, LONG time.
Delegates Charles Barkley and Kirill Reznik look safe primarily because the challengers are not of high enough caliber to take them out. Shane Robinson has lots of endorsements, no money and no name recognition. Bob Hydorn has some name recognition in Montgomery Village, which accounted for about one-sixth of the cards cast in the district in 2006, as well as the Post and Gazette endorsements. But he is almost as cash-strapped as Robinson. The open seat race is one of midgets shooting craps.
That’s the last money update prior to the election, folks, but we’ll have some fun facts on miscellaneous finance issues tomorrow.
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
1:00 PM
Labels: Adam Pagnucco, campaign finance, Council District 1, Council District 2, District 14, District 15, District 16, District 17, District 18, District 19, District 20, District 39
Tuesday, September 07, 2010
Royce Roasts Rice
To be fair, former Planning Board Chairman Royce Hanson has a lot to say in this mailer other than just tweaking fellow Council District 2 candidate Craig Rice over his campaign contributions. But can you really blame us for coming up with a blog post title that NOBODY can repeat ten times in a row?
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
10:30 AM
Labels: Council District 2, Craig Rice, Negative Campaigning, Royce Hanson
Monday, September 06, 2010
Endorsements - Final Update
Here's a round-up of the endorsements from fourteen of the more influential groups in Montgomery County.
Some of these endorsements are more important than others. For example, most observers consider support from MCEA and the Post as being the two most important endorsements in the county. But all of these have some merit with at least one segment of the population.
Here's a count by race.
Council District 1
Roger Berliner: 7 (including MCEA and the Post)
Ilaya Hopkins: 2
Council District 2
Craig Rice: 8 (including MCEA)
Royce Hanson: 1 (Post)
Sharon Dooley: 1
Council At-Large
Marc Elrich: 11 (including MCEA and the Post)
George Leventhal: 10 (including MCEA)
Hans Riemer: 9 (including MCEA and the Post)
Nancy Floreen: 8 (including the Post)
Duchy Trachtenberg: 4 (including the Post)
Becky Wagner: 4 (including MCEA)
District 14 Senate
Karen Montgomery: 7 (including MCEA)
Rona Kramer: 6 (including the Post)
District 14 House
Anne Kaiser: 14 (including MCEA and the Post)
Craig Zucker: 12 (including MCEA)
Eric Luedtke: 9 (including MCEA)
Bo Newsome: 4 (including the Post)
Jodi Finkelstein: 2 (including the Post)
District 15 House
Kathleen Dumais: 14 (including MCEA and the Post)
Brian Feldman: 14 (including MCEA and the Post)
Aruna Miller: 8 (including MCEA and the Post)
Lara Wibeto: 2
David Fraser-Hidalgo: 1
District 16 House
Susan Lee: 13 (including MCEA and the Post)
Bill Frick: 12 (including MCEA and the Post)
Ariana Kelly: 6 (including MCEA)
Hrant Jamgochian: 2 (including the Post)
Scott Goldberg: 2
Mark Winston: 1
Kyle Lierman: 1
District 17 Senate
Cheryl Kagan: 7 (including the Post)
Jennie Forehand: 4 (including MCEA)
District 18 Senate
Rich Madaleno: 9 (including the Post)
District 18 House
Ana Sol Gutierrez: 11 (including MCEA and the Post)
Jeff Waldstreicher: 11 (including MCEA)
Al Carr: 8 (including MCEA)
Dana Beyer: 3 (including the Post)
Vanessa Atterbeary: 1 (Post)
District 19 Senate
Mike Lenett: 7 (including MCEA)
Roger Manno: 6 (including the Post)
District 19 House
Bonnie Cullison: 11 (including MCEA and the Post)
Ben Kramer: 10 (including MCEA and the Post)
Jay Hutchins: 8 (including MCEA)
Sam Arora: 3 (including the Post)
District 20 House
Sheila Hixson: 13 (including MCEA and the Post)
Tom Hucker: 13 (including MCEA and the Post)
Heather Mizeur: 13 (including MCEA and the Post)
District 39 Senate
Nancy King: 10 (including MCEA and the Post)
Saqib Ali: 3
District 39 House
Kirill Reznik: 13 (including MCEA and the Post)
Charles Barkley: 12 (including MCEA and the Post)
Arash Shane Robinson: 8 (including MCEA)
Bob Hydorn: 2 (including the Post)
How much will this endorsement order resemble the ending vote order? We'll know soon enough.
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
12:00 PM
Labels: Council At-Large, Council District 1, Council District 2, District 14, District 15, District 16, District 17, District 18, District 19, District 20, District 39
Saturday, September 04, 2010
Craig Rice's Second Mailer
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
1:00 PM
Labels: Council District 2, Craig Rice
Thursday, September 02, 2010
Robin Ficker's First Mailer
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
9:30 AM
Labels: Council District 2, Robin Ficker
Wednesday, September 01, 2010
MCGEO Endorses in MoCo, Prince George's, Frederick Races
MCGEO has announced its endorsements in the County Council and state legislative races in Montgomery, Prince George's and Frederick Counties. Following is their press release.
For Immediate Release
August 30, 2010
MCGEO Endorses Seven Challengers, Nine Incumbents In Montgomery and Prince George’s County Council Race
Contact: Bob Stewart, Legislative Director, UFCW Local 1994 MCGEO
301-977-2447
Seven challengers and nine incumbents are among the candidates endorsed by members of the United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW) Local 1994, Municipal County Government Employee Organization (MCGEO), in races for seats on the Montgomery and Prince George’s County Councils. The union’s members also tapped Rushern Baker as the best choice as Prince George’s County Executive.
In Montgomery County Council contests, the union gave the nod to challenger Craig Rice (District 2) along with incumbents Nancy Navarro (District 4) and Valerie Ervin (District 5). In the contested race for four at-large Council seats, the union endorsed newcomer Hans Riemer along with incumbent at-Large candidates George Leventhal, Marc Elrich and Nancy Floreen. The Local took no position in the County Executive race, and made no endorsements in the elections in Districts 1 and 3.
In Prince George’s County, MCGEO has endorsed five challengers—Sam Epps (District 1), Derrick Davis (District 6); Karen Toles (District 7), Obie Patterson, District 8 and Mel Franklin (District 9). The union also endorsed incumbents Will Campos (District 2), Eric Olsen (District 3), Ingrid Turner (District 4) and Andrea Harrison (District 5).
The Local reaffirmed its earlier endorsement of Rushern Baker for the office of Prince George’s County Executive, stating that Baker would “…bring a renewed dignity and the values that the people of Prince George’s County demand and deserve.”
Endorsements by the 10,000-member public employee union are made in a process that starts with candidate interviews and a review of questionnaires by a multi-employer rank-and-file committee. Recommendations by that committee are sent to the union’s executive board for consideration and the slate of final recommendations is ultimately voted on by the union’s membership, a process that was completed on August 26th.
MCGEO is endorsing the Gubernatorial slate of Martin O’Malley and Anthony Brown. In the Senate race, the union endorsed Senator Barbara Mikulski; and In Maryland Congressional races the union it will back candidates Donna F. Edwards (District 4); Steny Hoyer (District 5); Andrew Duck (District 6) and Chris VanHollen (District 8). In other statewide races, the union backs Comptroller Peter Franchot and Attorney General Douglas Gansler.
A full list of Local 1994 endorsements, including general assembly candidates, is attached.
UFCW Local 1994 represents a range of government personnel in Montgomery County—including Ride On bus drivers, deputy sheriffs, corrections officers, HHS workers, personnel in the Maryland-National Capital Park & Planning Commission—along with library workers in Prince George’s County and police officers in the city of Cumberland, Maryland.
# # #
Statewide Races
U.S. Senator:
Barbara A. Mikulski
Maryland Governor:
Martin O’Malley
Maryland Lt. Governor:
Anthony G. Brown
Maryland Comptroller:
Peter Franchot
Maryland Attorney General:
Douglas F. Gansler
U.S. House of Representatives:
MD District 4
Donna F. Edwards
MD District 5
Steny H. Hoyer
MD District 6
Andrew Duck
MD District 8
Chris Van Hollen
Montgomery County
County Executive—No Endorsement
County Council
District 1—No Position
District 2—Craig Rice
District 3—No Endorsement
District 4—Nancy Navarro
District 5—Valerie Ervin
At-Large—George Leventhal; Marc Elrich; Nancy Floreen; Hans Riemer
Courthouse Offices
Sheriff—Darren Popkin
Clerk of the Circuit Court—Loretta Knight
Register of Wills—Joseph Griffin
State’s Attorney—John McCarthy
School Board—District 5—Louis Wilen
District 14—State Senate—No Position
House of Delegates—Anne Kaiser; Eric Luedtke; Craig Zucker
District 15—State Senate—Robert Garagiola
House of Delegates—Kathleen Dumais; Brian Feldman; Lara Wibeto
District 16—State Senate—Brian Frosh
House of Delegates—Bill Frick; Susan Lee; Kyle Lierman
District 17—State Senate—No Position
House of Delegates—Luiz Simmons; Kumar Barve; No Recommendation 3rd spot
District 18—State Senate—Rich Madaleno
House of Delegates—Ana Sol Gutierrez; Jeff Waldstreicher; Dana Beyer
District 19—State Senate—Roger Manno
House of Delegates—Bonnie Cullison; Jay Hutchins; Ben Kramer
District 20—State Senate—Jamie Raskin
House of Delegates—Sheila Hixson; Tom Hucker; Heather Mizeur
District 39—State Senate—Saqib Ali
House of Delegates—Charles Barkley; Kirill Reznik; Shane Robinson
Prince George’s County
County Executive—Rushern Baker
County Council—District 1—Sam Epps
District 2—Will Campos
District 3—Eric Olsen
District 4—Ingrid Turner
District 5—Andrea Harrison
DIstrict 6—Derrick Davis
District 7—Karen Toles
District 8—Obie Patterson
District 9—Mel Franklin
Courthouse Offices
Sheriff—Raphael Hylton
Register of Wills—Cereta Lee
State’s Attorney—Tom Dernoga
District 21—State Senate—Jim Rosapepe
House of Delegates—Joseline Pena Melnyk; Barbara Frush; Ben Barnes
District 22—State Senate—Paul Pinsky
House of Delegates—Justin Ross; Ann Healy; Tawana Gaines
District 23A—State Senate—Doug Peters
House of Delegates—James Hubbard; Nicole Williams
District 23B—Marvin Holmes
District 24—State Senate—Joanne Benson
House of Delegates—Carolyn Howard; Michael Vaughn; Greg Hall
District 25—State Senate—Ulysses Currie
House of Delegates—Aisha Braveboy; Melony Griffith; Dereck Davis
District 26—State Senate—Anthony Muse
House of Delegates—Veronica Turner; Kris Valderrama; No Endorsement of Jay Walker
District 27—State Senate—No Recommendation
House of Delegates—James Proctor; Joseph Vallario
District 47—State Senate—Victor Ramirez
House of Delegates—Doyle Niemann; Jolene Ivey; Wanda Shelton Martin
Frederick County
District 3—Senate—No Endorsement
3A—Galen R. Clagett
3A—No Recommendation
3B—Paul Gilligan
District 4—Senate—No Endorsement
4A—Ryan P. Trout
4A—No Recommendation
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
4:30 PM
Labels: Council At-Large, Council District 2, MCGEO
Career Fire Fighters Announce Endorsements for Council
Local 1664 of the International Association of Fire Fighters has released their endorsements for County Council. We reprint their press release below.
September 1, 2010
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:
MEDIA CONTACT: John Sparks (240-876-1920)
Montgomery Career Fire Fighters Endorse Candidates for County Council
(Rockville, MD) The Montgomery County Career Fire Fighters Association, International Association of Fire Fighters Local 1664, is pleased to endorse the following County Council candidates:
District 2: Craig Rice
At Large: George Leventhal, Marc Elrich, Hans Riemer and Becky Wagner
“We believe that these candidates will stand strong on public safety issues,” said John Sparks, President of MCCFFA 1664. “They understand that our priorities are the priorities of Montgomery County – delivery of the highest level of fire and rescue services, respect for our members, and a willingness to work together to find common solutions.
These candidates have earned our trust and support, and we urge Montgomery County voters to show their support for these individuals on Election Day.”
MCCFFA did not consider endorsements for County Executive and County Council Districts 3, 4 and 5, which are uncontested, and decided not to endorse in the District 1 race.
- 30 -
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
3:00 PM
Labels: Council At-Large, Council District 2, Fire Fighters
Monday, August 30, 2010
Park Police Union Makes Endorsements
Fraternal Order of Police Lodge 30, which represents the Park Police, has announced their endorsements for County Council and the state legislature. Following is their press release.
For Immediate Release:
August 29, 2010
Fraternal Order of Police, Lodge #30 – Representing the Men and Women of the Maryland National Park Police announce their endorsements for Montgomery County Council, State Senate and State Delegate for Montgomery County.
Upper Marlboro, MD – Fraternal Order of Police, Lodge #30, announce their endorsements for Montgomery County Council, State Senate and State Delegate for Montgomery County. FOP, Lodge #30 represents the men and women of the Maryland-National Park Police in both Montgomery and Prince George’s Counties, protecting both citizen and environment in over 60,000 acres of recreational area and parkland.
We proudly endorse the following candidates for State Legislature:
Senator Rona Kramer – District 14
Senator Rob Garagiola – District 15
Senator Brian Frosh – District 16
Senator Jamie Raskin – District 20
Delegate Kathleen Dumais – District 15
Delegate Bill Frick – District 16
Delegate James Gilchrist – District 17
Delegate Ben Kramer – District 19
For County Council:
Roger Berliner – District 1
Royce Hanson – District 2
Valerie Ervin – District 5
Hans Riemer – At Large
Becky Wagner – At Large
Nancy Floreen – At Large
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
3:00 PM
Labels: Council At-Large, Council District 1, Council District 2, District 14, District 15, District 16, District 19, MoCo Police
Primaries to Watch V, Part One
By Marc Korman and Adam Pagnucco.
Marc
A major fundraising report is in, the Washington Post has given its blessings from atop the mountain, mailboxes are filling up, and people who do not read this blog are finally starting to pay attention. So it is time for another installment of “Primaries to Watch.”
The problem with a list like this is it rewards bad behavior. The relatively tame District 14 and 17 State Senate challenges are not as fun to watch next to the madness of the District 16 or 19 Delegate races or the increasing nastiness of District 19 or 39 State Senate. But these races are supposed to be interesting, so here goes.
10. Hopkins vs. Berliner
Previous Rank: #10
Marc
Hopkins is hitting Berliner harder and harder through her mass emails, really taking it to him on one of his strongest issues, energy. She has attacked his loan program for home improvements, his public comments on Pepco, and his passage of a carbon tax. But it is probably too late to really change the overall momentum of the campaign. Hopkins does not have much presence outside of her geographic base of East Bethesda where she will likely do well. Berliner retains all the advantages of incumbency including a fundraising edge and most endorsements.
The Gazette endorsement is a nice feather in Hopkins’ cap and if she is thinking about her political future, she should figure out how to use big endorsements and other attributes from losing campaigns a la Laura Berthiaume (she got the Gazette in her 2006 Delegate race and later was elected to the School Board) or Ryan Spiegel (he got the Post in his 2006 Delegate race and later was elected to the Gaithersburg City Council).
More likely, Hopkins will spend the next few weeks continuing to hammer pretty hard at Berliner and try to pull out an unlikely win.
Full disclosure, I donated to Berliner in 2008 and serve on the Western Montgomery County Citizens Advisory Board with Hopkins.
Adam
Ilaya Hopkins had a lot of potential at the beginning of this race, but Berliner has totally overwhelmed her. He has run a classic incumbent campaign of reporting early money, rolling up lots of endorsements, taking the high road as she has gone negative and using his status as an incumbent to get into the Washington Post on the Pepco issue. This contest stopped being competitive when Berliner got on the Apple Ballot and now none of our informants believe Hopkins will win. She has to be kicking herself for missing out on the District 16 open seat. Hopkins would have been one of the favorites in that race.
The fact that we still have this contest at number ten illustrates how bored we are by the District 15 and 39 House primaries. Those races are midget wrestling compared to the titanic King-Ali and Lenett-Manno cage matches.
9. Council 2 Open Seat
Previous Rank: #9
Marc
There are five candidates in the race, but this one is really a three-way contest between Delegate Craig Rice, former Planning Board Chair Royce Hanson, and civic activist and prior candidate Sharon Dooley.
The stars may be aligning for Rice. He has the financial edge, strong endorsements, and is apparently the only candidate doing serious door knocking. Still, Hanson should have some latent name ID and people should be impressed by his experience. Dooley will be the only woman in the primary and has garnered substantial votes in the District before.
The winner here will face a spirited race against Robin Ficker, making this one of the more serious fall contests in the County.
Full disclosure, I have been doing some volunteer work for Craig Rice.
Adam
Craig Rice is now the favorite. He has the edge over Royce Hanson and Sharon Dooley in money, endorsements and prior electoral performance. Hanson last ran for office in 1978 (losing a Democratic County Executive primary to Charlie Gilchrist) and has half of Rice’s cash on hand. Dooley was crushed by incumbent Mike Knapp in 2006 and hasn’t changed much since then. She has almost no money. Rice worked very hard to beat popular Republican incumbent Delegate Jean Cryor in the last cycle and his Legislative District 15 precincts accounted for about 40% of the votes cast in Council District 2 in 2006. Additionally, MCEA will knock itself out on poll coverage in this district because Rice could be a swing vote on budget issues. All of this puts Rice over the top.
More tomorrow!
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
7:00 AM
Labels: Adam Pagnucco, Council District 1, Council District 2, Craig Rice, Ilaya Hopkins, Marc Korman, Primaries to Watch, Roger Berliner, Royce Hanson, Sharon Dooley
Saturday, August 28, 2010
Sharon Dooley: Why I Am Running for County Council
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
3:00 PM
Labels: Council District 2, Political Pulse, Sharon Dooley
Friday, August 27, 2010
Royce Hanson's First Mailer
Posted by
Adam Pagnucco
at
3:00 PM
Labels: Council District 2, Royce Hanson